Exbookie Want To Help The Player Week 6

[ACE-ACE]

RECORD 10-6 + $10,425
GAMES OVER $2000 BET......6-1 + $11,325
GAMES UNDER $1300 BET.....4-5 -900
I got to stay away form the fun bets .......

as I have said in the past.....you got to get the money in the 1st ....ten week.(the lines get harder after that)

I pick the lines each week base on....time....turn overs.....passing...running....penalties....offense vs defense...
...players....how far off is the bookies line....ect ect....

this is the line. vs my line
BUFF -6 -6
NYJ-10 -12
NE-4 SET -3
PHI-9 -9
CLE-3 CINN -1
DET-2 -7
CHI-1 -2
TEN-6 -3
ATL-4 SD -2
KC-2 EVEN
DAL-3 PIT -3
DEN - 2 -9.5
MIN-3 1/2 -9.5
STL -6 -1
MOST THE LINE ARE ABOUT THE SAME


NOW...........

as always there are some games that stand out......

now you have to read between the lines..........

and your guts............

the best game to bet on this weekend is DENVER-2

TIME: DEN+2 VS OAK -5 = DEN
PENALTIES DEN 204 VS OAK 258 = DEN
TURN OVER DEN 7 VS OAK 13 = DEN
DEN 10TH OFFENSE VS OAK 14 TH DEFENSE = DEN
OAK 15TH OFFENSE VS DEN 1ST IN DEFENSE = DEN
AND THERE IS 10 MORE THAT = TO DEN...........

LOOKING AT THIS GAME......i CANT FIND ONE EDGE FOR OAKLAND.....

I'M CALLING THIS (AS THE PLAYERS SAID) POY (PLAY OF THE YEAR)

DENVER -2 FOR $5000.00.

I HAVE MORE TO COME......GOOD LUCK TO ALL....

 

[mickj]

NE/Sea looks like a big difference.

 

[mickj]

As well as Minn/NO. Could you give the breakdowns there? Thanks.

 

[ACE-ACE]

On Minn

No Is Up And Down On TherE Game.......the Book Can't Get The Line Close
No Week 1 Off-11
2 -4
3 +10
4 -27
5 -6
=-38
Time
Min +2 Vs No -9

Penakties
Minn 255 Vs No 343

Turn Over
Minn 4 Vs No 8
It My 2nd Bet .....do Not Know How Much To Bet....

I See ...oren1......hansen......and Jaypaw....is On This Game...

If I Had To Give Up 8 Point I Would............

Away Fav.....from Week 2 -5 Have Won 18-7.....
(does An One Know About Week One)

 

[ChadC]

Good luck Ace, you kickin it this year

 

[toon67]

You the man!!!! Keep up good work....Toon

 

[PatPatriot]

DEN - 2 -9.5
MIN-3 1/2 -9.5

I'd like to know your opinion on this but with that much of a difference in the line,what that tells me is that the books want you to take those teams.
To back that up these are the most bet games at wagerline.Minn. at 77% and Den. at 72% or somthing.
Both games are away favs bad bet to begin with.

Any comments on this opinion??

 

[hansenbros.]

ace

feel a whole lot more confident now that you are on these!!! thank you for your invaluable contributions here!

gl

 

[ACE-ACE]

patriot.......away fav win every year up to week 8-10 of the nfl....its 72% this year......I pick my line base on about 20 parts of the game.....

with den being -2.....im saying that they sure win by 9 1/2......a valve of + 7 1/2.....

I THINK IF I MAKE A BET ON A GAME...I DONT WANT IT TO GO DOWN TO THE LAST PLAY......

LAST WEEK MY TWO TOP TEAM WAS NYG AND IND

NYG WAS +19 POINT OVER THE BOOKIES LINE.......

IND WAS +12......I WAS WORRY ABOUT LAYING THAT MANY POINTS.(IND--9...SO I TOOK THE MONEY LINE......... BOTH WON
THERE HAS BEEN TIME THE A TEAM IS A VALVE AT +9
AND I DONT BET IT.......
THE OTHER PART OF BETTING AS YOU KNOW IS ABOUT YOUR FEELING, THE ONES THAT ARE NOT IN STATS........

GOOD LUCK TO ALL

 

[mickj]

Could you give the NE/Sea breakdown? :howdy:

 

[ACE-ACE]

NE VS SEA
TIME NE + 1 VS SEA -5 = NE
PENTALTIES NE 266 VS SEA 163 = SEA
TURN OVER NE 7 VS SEA 3 = SEA....NO TURN OVER IN THE LAST TWO WEEKS
LOOKS LIKE A RUNNING GAME IF SO....SEA 9TH IN RUNNING VS DEFENSE OF NE 16TH IN STOPING THE RUN.....IF NE RUNS....12TH....VS SEA DEFENSE 4TH IN STOPING THE RUN BOTH =SEA

i COULD GO ON BUT NO TIME.....THIS IS GOING TO BE A CLOSE GAME.....
WOULD YOU BET A CLOSE GAME IF YOU COULD GO WITH SEA -3 OR NE -4....??
THE LINE WILL NOT MATTER

VALVE IS ON SEA SIDE BUT NOT FOR ME
DONT WANT TO WIN MY MONEY ON THE LAST PLAY

GOOD LUCK MY FRIEND...

 

[ACE-ACE]

my 2nd bet is minn-3 for $2000.00

1st down adv min margin 7

total yd adv min margin 130

yd per play adv min margin 1.7

rushing yd adv min margin 113

making 3nd down adv min margin 25% more..

and more...ect

only thing for no is there defense(passing) could stop some of culpepper passing

from the stats & guts.... min wins by 10 or more

good luck to all

 

[mickj]

Valve =?

 

[ACE-ACE]

sorry value not valve

thanks:heh:

 

[themanowesme]

Good Luck ACE, I am with you on both the Viks and Denver!

 

[whity]

GL This SUN. ACE What does your system say about the REDSKINS at + 1??


:think:

 

[ACE-ACE]

GL This SUN. ACE What does your system say about the REDSKINS at + 1??


:think:

I see the game as CHI OFFENSE VS WAS DEFENSE....
GAME TO CLOSE TO CALL...........BUT IN A FOOTBALL POOL I TOOK WASHINGTON.......

GOOD LUCK TODAY .MY FRIEND

 

[ACE-ACE]

two small fun bet


nyj 1h bet -6 1/2 for $ 525 to win 500


pitt +3 1/2 for $500

I dont see both of the games losing........

 

[truelyhandicapping]

ace ace



now you are officially a player and not a book,

you know better than you just play a couple for fun you always lose one, usually both.

from a players perspective.


like your system thing you got going, good work, and have a greeat day.

 

[ACE-ACE]

ace ace



now you are officially a player and not a book,

you know better than you just play a couple for fun you always lose one, usually both.

from a players perspective.


like your system thing you got going, good work, and have a greeat day.

oh no..

.....you still can take the book out of me....( to many years)